Simplistically, yes, but when orbitals are close together you have to consider the energy balance between promoting an electron to a higher orbital and pairing the spins.
If the energy difference between the orbitals is EO, and the spin-pairing energy is EP, then the difference between the singlet and triplet states is EO - EP. Whether this is positive or negative depends on the relative magnitudes of EO and EP. Evidently in carbene this balance favours the triplet.