Since ammonia and acrylonitrile have known heats of formation, all you need is ΔHf for liquid tri(propionitrile)amine, which I'm confident can be estimated well.
Bond enthalpies would be too inaccurate here, especially for the heat of a reaction that isn't very exothermal. Software would do it worse. Even for the gas, both would be unsatisfactory, and yes, you need liquids or dissolved species.
Do it by comparison with known molecules in their liquid state. In your case, without polycycles nor interactions, you can hope 6kJ accuracy.
Take the ΔHf of liquid
- Triethylamine (better than trimethylamine)
- Acetonitrile or propane nitrile
- Added -CH2- (deduce it from octane and decane for instance, both even)
and tinker as needed.
But for instance, hypothetic data from monopropionitrilamine and ammonia would be misleading because the successive C bonded to N bring varied heat of formation, so it's a bit tricky.
The nice aspect is that you keep the interactions of the liquid molecules during the formal transformation. This is often true, an exception would be if a molecule A-B has strong intermolecular interactions between the A and B ends but not among two A not two B, then the comparison with A-A and B-B would underestimate the heat of vaporisation. Here between the tertiary amine and the nitrile, the interaction is reasonable.
It wouldn't work as nicely with solids, whose crystal arrangement depends on every molecular detail, hence doesn't compare with similar molecules.
I'd check on an other molecule with tertiary amine and nitrile groups if one has been measured.
What I haven't grasped: you put "liquid" but also "water as a reaction medium". If you want the heat of reaction in water, then it's a matter of dissolved species, not liquid. At ammonia, the difference is huge. I'd use the same method, but with the corresponding ΔHf as water solutions. If you don't find it tabulated for acrylonitrile, measure yourself the heat of solution.