Hi Rory, I'm fine thanks.
I am not convinced by your distorted bond argument. As drawn, both of those migration products have distorted sp2 bond angles - this is just an artistic issue, not a real life problem. It is more accurate to draw the carbonyl in a position inbetween the axial and equatorial positions.
I think it is more helpful to consider a 5-membered calcium chelate. Hint: What models are commonly used to rationalise and predict the diastereoselectivity of addition to α-stereogenic aldehydes/ketones?