My teacher taught us that fragmentation pattern of carboxylic acid dictates -
[RCH
2COOH]
+·
[RCH
2CO]
+ + ·OH
[RCH
2COOH]
+ RCH
2+ + ·COOH
[RCH
2COOH]
+ RCH
2· + [COOH]
+[RCH
2COOH]
+ [CH
2=C(OH)
2]
+ + alkene (when γ hydrogen is available)
So, in my opinion there is no chance to loose ethyl group. It will lose butyl group.