I believe you are essentially trying to correlate bond strength with pka. This is awfully tempting to do and many people fall into this trap. The C-H bond of ethane is weaker (i.e. easier to break) than the C-H of ethylene which is weaker than the C-H bond of acetylene; this is the opposite trend of their respective pka values (ethane would be hardest to deprotonate and acetylene the easiest).
In the case of an E2 reactions it might appear that you are just "deprotonating" a substrate, but it's not really an acid-base reaction in the traditional sense because there is really much more going on than just shuttling a proton around. It's often necessary to take a look at the interacting orbitals involved in the chemical transformations.
http://web.chem.ucsb.edu/~zakariangroup/11---bonddissociationenergy.pdf
Re: estimating heterolytic pKa from homolytic bond strength
So true. These are completely different reactions. If acidity were correlated with bond dissociation energy, that would lead one to erroneously conclude NH₃ (386 kJ/mol) should be a stronger acid than HCl (432 kJ/mol). I have surmised that pKa values can be used in lieu of a heterolytic bond dissociation value. If so, then acetylene is simply more acid than an alkane.
Someone had posted the orbital argument and I had questioned this based upon a graph they had posted. The graph makes it appear that p-orbitals are actually closer to the nucleus, that is, the p-orbital electron density is closer. An s-orbital has a small blip of electron density that is closer, but if one must go by this blip, what is the value of the graph? I had invited comments on this, but I don't recall anyone took this up.
This what I had suggest in my class. The analogy for an electron pair’s ability to attack another nucleus is, ‘chemical reactivity is like a boxer. A boxer with a longer reach would have an easier time to hit the nucleus of a another atom’. If you look at the bond lengths of the CH, NH, OH, and HF, the electrons are held most tightly by fluorine, the bond length is shortest, and it is the most acidic. If you compare an alkane, alkene, and acetylene, the bond length is the shortest for an acetylene and it is the most acidic.
Re: dfl4196's quandary, alkane v alkene elimination
I agree with the premise, however, that may not tell us everything about the reaction. I know textbooks indicate reactions are concerted and that is interpreted as 'at the same time'. If we divide time into infinitely small divisions, then we must argue that a bond must begin to break virtually knowing an electron pair were attacking. It makes more sense to me that if a collision were to occur, we would find something like a chain reaction of autos in which the first collision caused the next etc. If we do that, then we can analyze how reactions might change. For an elimination reaction, we might ask whether a lengthening of a C-X bond precedes the rate determining deprotonation step. If that were the case, then a less electron withdrawing alkane may correspond with a greater lengthening of a C-X bond. The lengthening could correspond with a greater donation of neighboring electrons (see hyperconjugation). The protons removed would be the now more acidic neighboring protons.
If you read the reaction like this, then you can well rationalize that an alkene's C-X bond would be less lengthened and contribute less to an increase in the neighboring CH acidity. You may also rationalize that Zaitsev products are really 'SN1-like' and electron donation is greatest from the tertiary carbon, hence most substituted alkene.